## Line Chart: Relative Success Rate vs. Number of Queries
### Overview
The chart compares the relative success rate (%) of four different model transfer/optimization strategies across varying numbers of queries (10,000 to 60,000). Four data series are plotted with distinct line styles and colors.
### Components/Axes
- **X-axis**: "# queries" (logarithmic scale: 10,000 to 60,000)
- **Y-axis**: "relative success rate %" (-40% to +10%)
- **Legend**: Positioned at top-right, with four entries:
1. Orange solid line: "Transfer Gemini 1.0 Nano -> Gemini 1.5 Pro"
2. Red dashed line: "Greybox on Gemini 1.5 Flash"
3. Blue triangle line: "Greybox on Gemini 1.5 Pro"
4. Orange dashed line: "Transfer Gemini 1.0 Nano -> Gemini 1.5 Flash"
### Detailed Analysis
1. **Greybox on Gemini 1.5 Flash** (Red dashed line):
- Starts at ~0% at 10k queries
- Rises sharply to +10% by 20k queries
- Plateaus at +10% through 60k queries
- *Trend*: Consistent improvement with query volume
2. **Greybox on Gemini 1.5 Pro** (Blue triangle line):
- Begins at ~-10% at 10k queries
- Increases to 0% at 20k queries
- Reaches +10% at 40k queries
- Maintains +10% through 60k queries
- *Trend*: Steeper improvement curve than Flash version
3. **Transfer Gemini 1.0 Nano -> Gemini 1.5 Pro** (Orange solid line):
- Starts at -40% at 10k queries
- Improves to -30% at 20k queries
- Stabilizes around -30% through 60k queries
- *Trend*: Minimal improvement despite query volume
4. **Transfer Gemini 1.0 Nano -> Gemini 1.5 Flash** (Orange dashed line):
- Begins at -20% at 10k queries
- Drops to -30% at 30k queries
- Recovers slightly to -25% at 60k queries
- *Trend*: Worst performance with query volume
### Key Observations
- Greybox methods outperform Transfer methods by 20-30 percentage points
- Greybox on Pro shows the most significant improvement (+20% absolute gain)
- Transfer to Flash method exhibits volatility (dips then recovers)
- All methods show diminishing returns after 40k queries
### Interpretation
The data demonstrates that Greybox optimization techniques yield substantially better performance than direct model transfers. The Pro model versions (both Greybox and Transfer) consistently outperform Flash versions, suggesting architectural advantages in higher-tier models. The Transfer to Flash method's volatility (-30% at 30k queries) indicates potential instability in this configuration. The plateauing trends after 40k queries suggest diminishing returns on query volume for all methods, implying that optimization gains become less significant with scale. This could inform resource allocation decisions for model deployment strategies.
