# Technical Document Extraction: Probability of Successful Edit ## 1. Document Metadata * **Language:** English * **Image Type:** Line Graph with Data Markers * **Subject:** Statistical analysis of edit success rates relative to prior failures. ## 2. Component Isolation ### Header * **Title:** Chance of Successful Edit Given $\ge n$ Failed Edits ### Main Chart Area * **Y-Axis Label:** Probability * **Y-Axis Markers:** 0.0, 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8 * **X-Axis Label:** # of Consecutive Failed Edits * **X-Axis Markers:** Integers from 0 to 20 (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20) * **Data Series:** A single blue line with circular markers at each integer coordinate. ### Footer/Legend * **Legend:** Not explicitly present as a separate box; the single data series is defined by the chart title. --- ## 3. Trend Verification and Data Extraction ### Visual Trend Analysis The data series exhibits a **strong downward slope**, indicating a negative correlation between the number of consecutive failed edits and the probability of the next edit being successful. * **Initial Drop:** There is a sharp decrease in probability between 0 and 1 failed edits. * **Steady Decline:** From 1 to 8 failures, the probability decreases at a relatively constant, steep rate. * **Plateauing:** After approximately 15 failures, the curve flattens significantly, approaching a probability near zero (asymptotic behavior). ### Data Table Reconstruction The following values are estimated based on the spatial alignment of the blue markers against the Y-axis grid. | # of Consecutive Failed Edits ($n$) | Estimated Probability of Success | | :--- | :--- | | 0 | ~0.92 | | 1 | ~0.58 | | 2 | ~0.51 | | 3 | ~0.46 | | 4 | ~0.40 | | 5 | ~0.35 | | 6 | ~0.30 | | 7 | ~0.24 | | 8 | ~0.18 | | 9 | ~0.16 | | 10 | ~0.13 | | 11 | ~0.10 | | 12 | ~0.08 | | 13 | ~0.07 | | 14 | ~0.06 | | 15 | ~0.04 | | 16 | ~0.03 | | 17 | ~0.02 | | 18 | ~0.02 | | 19 | ~0.02 | | 20 | ~0.02 | --- ## 4. Technical Summary This chart illustrates the "sunk cost" or "diminishing returns" aspect of editing attempts. * **Baseline:** With 0 prior failures, the success rate is at its peak (over 90%). * **Critical Threshold:** Once a user has failed 4 consecutive times, the probability of success drops below 50% (tossing a coin). * **Terminal State:** After 17 consecutive failures, the probability of success becomes negligible (approx. 2%), suggesting that further attempts after this point are statistically unlikely to result in a successful edit.